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They aren’t dumping the money into it, and other issues, like chips and Taiwan and demographics, are the massive considerations which have the main focus from the highest of the government, and nobody is fascinated about sticking their necks out for wacky things like ‘spending a billion dollars on a single training run’ with out explicit enthusiastic endorsement from the very top. Computer hardware and AI chipmaker Nvidia, for instance, lost almost $600 billion of its market capitalization Monday, and other U.S. DeepSeek v3-R1’s massive efficiency achieve, cost savings and equal efficiency to the top U.S. The use of the FDPR reflects the truth that, regardless that the nation has modified the product by painting their flag on it, it is still essentially a U.S. Scale CEO Alexandr Wang says the Scaling section of AI has ended, despite the fact that AI has "genuinely hit a wall" in terms of pre-coaching, however there remains to be progress in AI with evals climbing and fashions getting smarter as a result of post-training and check-time compute, and we've entered the Innovating phase the place reasoning and other breakthroughs will lead to superintelligence in 6 years or less.

1. the scientific culture of China is ‘mafia’ like (Hsu’s time period, not mine) and targeted on legible simply-cited incremental analysis, and is towards making any daring research leaps or controversial breakthroughs… This blog covers a variety of AI-related topics, including breakthroughs in machine studying, AI security, policy implications, and detailed explorations of their latest tasks and technologies. Dominic Cummings on AI, including hypothesis that artificial voters and focus teams inside AI models are already indistinguishable from real voters. Plugin support: ChatGPT helps plugins, together with internet browsing and code interpretation, and external plugins from developers resembling Expedia, OpenTable, Zapier, Shopify, Slack and Wolfram. Pebble watches have been extinct, so to talk, since the past decade, and this week, PebbleOS's code was made open-supply by Google. Databricks CEO Ali Ghodsi says "it’s pretty clear" that the AI scaling laws have hit a wall as a result of they are logarithmic and though compute has elevated by a hundred million times in the past 10 years, it may solely increase by 1000x in the following decade. OpenAI SVP of Research Mark Chen outright says there isn't a wall, the GPT-type scaling is doing high quality along with o1-model methods.

There isn't a Chinese Manhattan Project. The Westerners might make the history books, however the Chinese will make the huge bucks. Introduction: For individuals like me who simply discover inspiration in DeepSeek Ai Chat, AI Salon could well be the place to find likeminded… Transitioning from Greek mythology to trendy-day know-how, we might have another Trojan horse, and it could also be embraced and welcomed into our houses and lives simply as that ancient wooden horse once was. So, this raises an essential query for the arms race folks: in the event you consider it’s Ok to race, as a result of even if your race winds up creating the very race you claimed you had been making an attempt to keep away from, you are nonetheless going to beat China to AGI (which is extremely plausible, inasmuch because it is easy to win a race when just one aspect is racing), and you have AGI a 12 months (or two at the most) before China and also you supposedly "win"…

Richard Ngo continues to contemplate AGIs as an AGI for a given time interval - a ‘one minute AGI’ can outperform one minute of a human, with the true craziness coming around a 1-month AGI, which he predicts for 6-15 years from now. Let the crazy Americans with their fantasies of AGI in a few years race forward and knock themselves out, and China will stroll along, and scoop up the results, and scale it all out price-effectively and outcompete any Western AGI-related stuff (ie. China can just catch up a few years later and win the actual race. There is no such thing as a race. In particular, he says the Biden administration mentioned in meetings they needed ‘total management of AI’ that they would ensure there can be solely ‘two or three big companies’ and that it instructed him to not even trouble with startups. Dean Ball says that Marc refers to other rhetoric that was present in DC in 2023, but is not present… Robin Hanson says a while in the subsequent century the financial system will begin doubling every month and most people will lose their jobs so we should always… Apple app store and within the top Free DeepSeek r1 Android apps on the Google Play Store at the time of publication.

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